The new IEA Medium Term Oil Market Report 2010
http://www.iea.org/W/bookshop/add.aspx?id=397
estimates Iran’s oil production capacity will decline by 700 Kb/d by 2015. The above graph shows the change of crude oil capacities between 2015 and 2009, for various OPEC countries.
Assuming continuing domestic growth of oil consumption for a 70 million population this means that Iran’s oil exports [...]